
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
4:45 am - I admit one cannot judge the low of the market
But one has to be content with the profits that one has . Wow ! FKLI gone so low.

4:19 pm - FKLI is so tempting to short because of the breakdown but it is too low at this point.
Maybe let's wait for tomorrow. Interesting, FKLI has turn discount to KLCI for the 1st time. FKLI market is truly in a bearish phase.

1:42 pm - FKLI has broken to low to 1470.0
My newsletter recommendation to GO Short at 1475.0. How many of you follow this recommendation to short at 1475.0 ? I wonder.

1:22 pm - FCPO looks like it had a reversal - It is downtrend from now.
Here is the FCPO daily charts.

10:29 am - Decreasing volume as the FKLI goes higher
9:51 am - FKLI trading at 12 pts premium. KLCI is taking a big hit today !
Our FKLI is in the money.
9:21 am - Wow ! I thought FKLi will gap down to 1494 but instead 1488
It is down to low 1482.5. Either hold or take profits on FKLI.

Tuesday, January 15, 2008
2:57 pm - US recession confirmed ?
US economy heading for a recession - Standard Chartered SINGAPORE (Thomson Financial) - The US economy is heading for a recession and the downturn is expected to last until next year, the chief economist for Standard Chartered bank said Tuesday. A US slowdown will hurt Asia's export-led economies but the region is in a better position to cope with the situation because of its huge currency reserves and improved finances, Gerard Lyons said. "The US economy in our view is heading into a recession," Lyons said at a conference organised by the London-based bank. Unlike previous US recessions which typically last 10 to 11 months, Lyons said the world's largest economy will stay weak into next year. The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to 3.0 percent by June to shore up growth, he said. In his view, "they should go even lower," said Lyons. While Asia's economies are still reliant on the US, the region is seen as boasting significantly bigger currency reserves and better fiscal positions, which should soften the impact of a US slowdown, said Lyons. "Basically there is a lot more room to respond to any downturn," he said, referring to Asia's ability to cope. Standard Chartered is forecasting the US economy will grow 0.5 percent this year. Other major financial houses including Goldman Sachs and Merrill Lynch have also tipped a US recession. "The recent data suggest that the US economy is falling into recession," Goldman Sachs economists said in a research note last week, noting that the impact of credit and housing woes is already being felt. Goldman Sachs said it expects the Fed to cut interest rates aggressively, bringing the federal funds rate from the current 4.25 percent to 2.5 percent by late 2008.
2:40 pm - FKLI did selldown after lunch and break down to 1515.5
Support at 1518 has been broken ! Our short position is in play !

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