***** Next Master the Markets Foundation Course 1.5 days - Sept 14-15, 2009. Call Dolly at 03 4252 4149 to enroll ! ***** The Importance of Being A "Honest" Trader :-) martin_tf_wong@hotmail.com: Jun 28, 2008

Saturday, June 28, 2008

7:29 am - Wall Street extends losses in volatile week

Wall Street extends losses in volatile week NEW YORK (AP) - Wall Street ended a depressing week with another big loss onFriday, with the Dow Jones industrials falling more than 100 points amidever-escalating worries about high oil prices and fallout from the creditcrisis. The major indexes are all down more than 3 percent for the week. The Dow has fallen nearly 460 points in the last two sessions and reachedits lowest point since September 2006. Investors again contended Friday with a seemingly relentless stream oftroubling news about the financial sector. Moody's Investors Service said it isreviewing investment bank Morgan Stanley for a possible downgrade. There werealso more reports that Merrill Lynch & Co. might have to write off nearly $6billion of risky mortgage-backed debt. In addition to anxiety about the financials, the market watched oil's marchhigher -- the price of crude rose to a new record of $142.99 a barrel on the NewYork Mercantile Exchange. Wall Street remains concerned that higher commodityprices will slam consumers with not only elevated costs for energy and food, butalso for other goods if cash-strapped companies decide to pass along the risingcosts. "People are trading with a lot of emotion," said Alexander Paris, aneconomist and market analyst for Chicago-based Barrington Research. "I think themarket is trying to make a bottom, but the question is will it hold there orjust crash through. It feels just like the top of the technology bubble in 2000,you know there's something wrong but it is hard to time it." Investors got little solace from economic data released on Friday. TheCommerce Department said spending rose 0.8 percent in May, as taxpayers startedreceiving their stimulus checks. The increase was higher than the 0.7 percenteconomists predicted. The report also said personal incomes surged 1.9 percent-- significantly more than anticipated. After taxes, incomes surged 5.7 percent,the largest amount in 33 years. The Dow fell 106.91, or 0.93 percent, to 11,346.51, compounding Thursday's358-point skid. The blue chip index is down 19.9 percent from its record highclose of 14,164.53 in October, and is on the verge of the 20 percent pullbackthat is considered the threshold for a bear market. Broader stock indicators also closed lower. The Standard & Poor's 500 indexfell 4.77, or 0.37 percent, to 1,278.38. The S&P, the index most closely watchedby market professionals, is down 18.3 percent from its October high. The Nasdaq composite index fell 5.74, or 0.25 percent, to 2,315.63. The market was pounded this week not only by a resurgence of bad news aboutthe financial sector and $140 oil, but by harbingers of problems to come inother parts of the economy. Poor outlooks for high-tech companies and theautomotive sector reminded Wall Street that the troubles have the potential tobecome widespread. There is also likely fear on the Street about upcoming second-quarterearnings reports and companies outlooks for the rest of the year. Oracle Corp.'swarning of difficult times ahead contributed to Thursday's huge drop. For the week, the Dow gave up 4.19 percent, the S&P shed 3 percent and theNasdaq fell 3.76 percent. With one trading day left in the second quarter, theDow is down 7.47 percent, the S&P 500 is off 3.35 percent and the Nasdaq is up1.60 percent. Year-to-date statistics show how badly the market has suffered from thecredit crisis and the impact of soaring oil: The Dow is down 14.46 percent, theS&P 500 is down 12.94 percent and the Nasdaq is down 12.69 percent. Even if the economic numbers coming out soon -- including the government'sJune employment report, to be issued on Thursday -- look better, the marketlikely won't be reassured, because the impact of higher oil is still not known. Declining issues outnumbered advancers by about 3 to 2 Friday on the NewYork Stock Exchange, where volume came to 1.4 billion shares. Bond prices edged higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note,which tends to move opposite its price, was at 3.96 percent, down from 4.03percent late Thursday. The dollar was lower against other major currencies,while gold prices rose. In other economic news, the University of Michigan's June index of consumersentiment came in at 56.4, a bit lower than its reading in May and slightlybelow the average analyst estimate. "The problem is that there's not one, single worry," said Hugh Johnson,chairman and chief investment officer of Johnson Illington Advisors. He pointedto high gas prices, still-tight credit market conditions, and the contractinghousing market. "If you're looking for problems that face investors, that facethe U.S. economy, they're everywhere." Also Friday, a Lehman Brothers analyst lifted his prediction of MerrillLynch's asset markdowns in the second quarter. His write-down estimate rose to$5.4 billion from $3 billion. On Thursday, a Goldman Sachs analyst forecast a$4.2 billion write-down at Merrill and a nearly $9 billion write-down atCitigroup Inc. Merrill shares fell 35 cents to $32.70, and Citigroup shares fell 42 cents,or 2.3 percent, to $17.25. Morgan Stanley dropped 12 cents to $36.71 after Moody's said the investmentbank's "financial performance and risk management has been inconsistent" sincecredit markets began last year. The company will focus its review on MorganStanley's ability to control risk and generate profit over the next one to twoyears -- a period Moody's expects will be challenging for investment banks. The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 0.28, or 0.04 percent, to698.14. Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 2.01 percent after Wall Street'stumble Thursday. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.21 percent, Germany's DAX index fell0.58 percent, and France's CAC-40 lost 0.65 percent. Copyright 2008 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be