Wednesday, January 04, 2006
Tuesday, January 03, 2006
4:07 pm - Looking to go long at 889
This wud be a good spot to go long provided setup and buy signal comes together.
3:44 pm - FKLI trading below 50MA - 887.5
It is short time now. We missed the last MACD cross down, so now we wait for cross up to go long. If there is a CNY rally, it has to start this week.
Look for the setup and buy signal for long.
Look for the setup and buy signal for long.
Friday, December 30, 2005
9:54 pm - Year 2005 closes with a huge selldown at the end.
Wednesday, December 21, 2005
2:43 pm - Trade #9 is stopped out at 891
Profit gain +4 pts.
It is coming to end of the closing mth and MACD tend not to do so well. So it is better to stay out.
It is coming to end of the closing mth and MACD tend not to do so well. So it is better to stay out.
Tuesday, December 20, 2005
3:20 pm - FKLi is heading higher
If FKLI cannot breach 891.5, that it. You wud see MACD to cross down. This is a typical FKLI pattern.
It wud head high for the 1st time and the 2nd time it wud test it. If it cannot break higher that the last high. FKLI wud go lower.
It wud head high for the 1st time and the 2nd time it wud test it. If it cannot break higher that the last high. FKLI wud go lower.
Monday, December 19, 2005
Friday, December 16, 2005
Thursday, December 15, 2005
10:24 am - Preparing for Trade #8 for short if below 50MA
Look for Trade #8 to go short if below 50 MA. i.e. below 888.5
10:03 am - FKLi looks like going nowhere
Trail stop higher to 891.5/892. I have been in for 14 bars and haven't move any where but sideway
Wednesday, December 14, 2005
Tuesday, December 13, 2005
10:33 am - FKLI had overhead problem
Every time FKLI move ahead uptrend and wud selldown due to insufficient vol on cash mkt. It is the fluctuation of discount and premium that making FKLI to move up and down.
Friday, December 09, 2005
3:56 pm - Trade #6 looks to stop out soon.
Looking at the MACD, it did not cross at all. This is a mistake. Take a loss at 885.
Loss -2.5 pts.
Loss -2.5 pts.
3:12 pm - FKLi going nowhere for the time being.
It looks like it is going sideway. trail stop to 884.5.
11:19 am - Trade #6 long position is triggered.
Long position triggered at 888.5 and hit high of 889.
Stop loss at 884/884.5
Stop loss at 884/884.5
10:22 am - Trade #6 is ready for long at 888.5/889.
Waiting for MACD to cross up. 7 line change bar has set up nicely.
Thursday, December 08, 2005
11:13 am - Trade #5 is ready for short
Short at 885/885.5 as MACD above to cross down and 7 bar line change is violated. Daily pivot broken at 887.5.
Predicted low today = 884.0 pts.
Predicted low today = 884.0 pts.
10:27 am - FKLI is not going anyway but down.
FKLI hit high of 892 yesterday. Trail stop to 887.
Watch out, MACD about to cross down.
Watch out, MACD about to cross down.
Wednesday, December 07, 2005
10:16 am - FKLI is reversing from down to up.
The cash vol is 62 mil at 10 am. Projecting today cash vol closing 341 mil. So there are some institution buying today.
If it cannot break 888.5, it can be a resistance.
If it cannot break 888.5, it can be a resistance.
9:29 am - FKLI heading north today.
The last minute uptrend yesterday continue this morning. It is critical FKLI can closed above 884.5.
Daily Pivot
R2 = 888.5
R1 = 884.5
P = 880.0
S1 = 876
Trail stop to 882.5/882.0 pts.
Daily Pivot
R2 = 888.5
R1 = 884.5
P = 880.0
S1 = 876
Trail stop to 882.5/882.0 pts.
Tuesday, December 06, 2005
5:17 pm - Trade #4 long position is triggered
Long position is triggered at 881.5 pts.
Stop loss = 877/877.5
Tomorrow pivot point.
R1 = 884.5
P = 880.0
S1 = 876.0
Stop loss = 877/877.5
Tomorrow pivot point.
R1 = 884.5
P = 880.0
S1 = 876.0
3:58 pm - FKLI is moving sideway
FKLI hit a low at 874.5 and high at 879.5
MACD almost cross down. So no position is taken yet.
Trade #4 is ready for either long or short.
MACD almost cross down. So no position is taken yet.
Trade #4 is ready for either long or short.
Monday, December 05, 2005
5:05 pm - FKLI Trade #3 is stopped at 877.0
Trade #3 loss of 0.5 pts.
Await for Trade #4 for setup and signal to go short.
Await for Trade #4 for setup and signal to go short.
10:30 am - Update for last Friday trade
Trade #2 was stopped out at 876.5 when FKLI hit low 870.5 and rebounded. Profit win +2 pts.
Trade #3 was initiated on Friday when MACD cross at 877.5. Stop loss at 872.
Trade #3 was initiated on Friday when MACD cross at 877.5. Stop loss at 872.
Thursday, December 01, 2005
2:04 pm - FKLI average daily range has reached
We have reached 6.5 pts i.e. average daily range. The mkt shud rebound back or selldown further (unlikely).
Trail stop to 879/879.5
Trail stop to 879/879.5
12:32 pm - FKLI Dec selldown further to 875.5
Wow ! The proton selldown is really driving the bearish market.
12:15 noon - FKLI trade #2 short triggered at 878.5
Trade #2 is triggered at 878.5. Stop loss at 881.5
11:33 am - Get ready for long at 883/883.5
For FKLI Dec, I am interested if FKLI comes to this level.
9:37 am - Trade #1 is stopped out at 880.5
Loss of -2 pts. The FKLI mkt seem not to go down trend. Cash mkt support at 894/895.
Wednesday, November 30, 2005
4:43 pm - Trade #1 triggered short at 878.5
1st trade of FKLI Dec contract triggered at 878.5. Stop loss at 881./881.5 pts.
10:06 am - Tune to FKLI Dec contract
Currently, FKLI Dec is trading at 15 pts discount. The discount is too wide and is bound to close back. However, cash mkt is going downtrend. Watch the 62% retractment of cash mkt. Generally, if cash does not selldown any more i.e. -0.5 pts, the discount will narrow to 8 or 9 pts.
Watch for the setup and long signal.
Watch for the setup and long signal.
Monday, November 28, 2005
12:08 noon - FKLI on the last 3 days to closing
FKLI is trading to 4 pt discount and I think it is par level. Over the last few mths, FKLI shud be trading around 4-5 discount prior to closing due to convergence.
To go outright is not profitable as you do not know how the institution would rollover their contract. Charts do not work so well as these bearish market.
Wait for position setup for Dec contract on Wed or Thur - Dec 1 or 2.
Rgds,
-martin-
To go outright is not profitable as you do not know how the institution would rollover their contract. Charts do not work so well as these bearish market.
Wait for position setup for Dec contract on Wed or Thur - Dec 1 or 2.
Rgds,
-martin-
Thursday, November 24, 2005
10:26 am - Trade #20 is stopped out at 893.5
Stop out at 893.5. I know if I cud hold on, I can win the trade. But that wud be violating the discipline.
Wednesday, November 23, 2005
Tuesday, November 22, 2005
3:24 pm - Trade #19 is shorted at 895.5
Going short after reaching high at 900.5 today. Stop loss at 898.5
Monday, November 21, 2005
4:47 pm - If I wished to go long I waited for long setup
For the time being, short position is better. Fri and Mon Cash has gone up by 10 pts and vol is very low.
Long is better above 900.5
Long is better above 900.5
4:46 pm - EOD FKLI becomes a shooting star - Doji
Close trade #18 at 897 with 4 pts profit as MACD abt to cross down too.
3:39 pm - Trail trade #18 to 896.5
The FKLI came down to 896.5 close to my stop at 896 in the morning.
Friday, November 18, 2005
12:00 noon - FKLI gap up in the morning.
Finally, DJIA broke past 11700 and FKLI gap up way past my stop loss at 887.5/888.0 Got out my short position trade #17 at 889 - loss 4.5 pts.
Trade #18 is triggered long position at 893.0
Stop loss at 890.5.
Average daily range has been reached i.e. 896 -888 = 8 pts.
there is limited upside now.
Trade #18 is triggered long position at 893.0
Stop loss at 890.5.
Average daily range has been reached i.e. 896 -888 = 8 pts.
there is limited upside now.
Thursday, November 17, 2005
3:40 pm- Watch out for FKLi to break 882.5
If that the case, we should be shorting. The mkt has not bottomed yet. Look at the remark by OSK.
OSK Research: KLCI to hit 1,005 points within a year
OSK Research Sdn Bhd expects the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) to touch a high of 1,005 points within the next 12 months, underpinned by merger and acquisition (M&A) activities in the banking sector, said head of research Kenny Yee
They are even launching Basket of Call warrant that mimic ETF to support the mkt after the foreigner has left.
OSK Research: KLCI to hit 1,005 points within a year
OSK Research Sdn Bhd expects the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) to touch a high of 1,005 points within the next 12 months, underpinned by merger and acquisition (M&A) activities in the banking sector, said head of research Kenny Yee
They are even launching Basket of Call warrant that mimic ETF to support the mkt after the foreigner has left.
10:48 am - FKLI hit low 892.5 and selldown
I am amazed by FKLI and how it falls like. There was a vaccum between price 885.5 to 882.5. Put in your short position now at 884.5/885
9:52 am - It take huge volume to push FKLI uptrend again
FKLI is likely to resume downtrend or sideway from now. With the low cash vol. it is likely down or sideway.
However, from a daily trend, it is uptrend. I keep my opinion off my trading and see the setup and signal as they comes.
However, from a daily trend, it is uptrend. I keep my opinion off my trading and see the setup and signal as they comes.
9:46 am - FKLI hit resistance at 892 and selldown
Tighten stop to 886.5 and got stopped out this morning. Loss of -1.5 pts.
Waiting for short entry set up and short signal.
Waiting for short entry set up and short signal.
Wednesday, November 16, 2005
5:05 pm - Cash last min shot up by + 3 pts.
As a result, Cash is up +2.47 pts when most of the day below yesterday closing.
We wud see a bullish tomorrow. Be ready to close your position.
We wud see a bullish tomorrow. Be ready to close your position.
11:06 am - FKLI is moving back to 50MA
FKLI has crossed 26 MA and moving to 50MA. There is a lot of players at 50MA.
10:53 am - Uptrend to persists if FKLI closed ...
Reversal is true if FKLI can closed above 886.
Trail stop to 884.5/884
Trail stop to 884.5/884
Tuesday, November 15, 2005
10:24 am - Preparing for Trade #16 to go long
Trade #16 ready to go long at 887/887.5
Stop loss at 881.5
Stop loss at 881.5
10:21 am - Massive FKLI long position triggered
All the short fella incl. myself Trade #15 stopped out. It shot from 884.5 to 889.
Trade #15 triggered at 886. Loss of 0.5 pts.
Trade #15 triggered at 886. Loss of 0.5 pts.
9:55 am - Trail Trade #15 stop lower
Stop trail to 885.0. In the money +0.5 pts.
Mkt is bullish divergence. Expecting FKLI to head north.
Mkt is bullish divergence. Expecting FKLI to head north.
Monday, November 14, 2005
4:21 pm - Trail stop to 886 Trade #15
Trade #15 may end very soon but I do not know. But I want to see FKLI to close below 884.
11:53 am - Trade #15 is short at 885.5
MACD cross down and FKLI selldown. Trade #15 is hot.
Stop loss is at 888.0.
FKLI shud continue to go low if close below 884
Stop loss is at 888.0.
FKLI shud continue to go low if close below 884
Friday, November 11, 2005
5:03 pm - Cash jump back to -2 pts loss
It is weird that cash stay -6 pts loss but on the last min, cash catch up.
Bollinger Band is narrowing and watch out for the spring next week either up or down.
Bollinger Band is narrowing and watch out for the spring next week either up or down.
11:13 am - Trade #14 is against short term trend
Ready to tighten stop when I need to as I am trending against short term trend.
10:58 am - FKLI selldown again
Short FKLI at 888.5 for Trade #14 after the failed reversal to go uptrend.
Stop loss 893.5
Stop loss 893.5
9:55 am - Always best to buy after 10 am
Need to wait the news and short covering or long to settle and the trend wud persist.
9:36 am FKLI MACD has crossed up
Be ready to go long for Trade #14 at 892/893. Wait for the price to turn up. Do not buy when it is falling.
Thursday, November 10, 2005
11:46 am - I am looking for a Doji on EOD
For today, I am looking for a reversal signal on EOD FKLI.
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