
Thursday, January 10, 2008
Wednesday, January 09, 2008
5:31 pm - FKLI selldown as most players do not like to carry over the holiday.
However, there was a last min push to 1503.0

12:40 pm - My newsletter recomendation goes for LONG position at 1507
Let's see if it will hit 1507 today and closed above or at 1507.

No tradeguider signal so far.
You have to trade based on pattern or other signals e.g. breakout or dips.
12:29 pm - FCPO is hitting new high today at 3189
IF FPCO is hitting new high, our KLCI will run away too. So does our FKLI.

FKLI has broken through 1499/1500. It hits 1501.5 high.
11:22 am - FKLI cannot break 1499 and thus, form a double top
10:00 am - DJIA broken the major support and heading downtrend

Cash is down - 7 pts but FKLI is holding nicely at 1489/1490.
The FKLI has had a good run to the top. The last high at 1499. It takes a lot of volume to break thru 1499/1500 again. The FKLI market may congest/ go sideway and maybe retrace back.The market need to consolidate first as a lot of players are taking profits.
Tuesday, January 08, 2008
4:10 pm - FKLI go for 1500. Current at 1487.5
Being stop out and wash out yesterday, only trade Tradegudier buy signals on intraday.

No signal on Positioning System.
2:11 pm - DJIA is either forming a triple bottom or else...
10:24 am - FKLI reacting to Hang Seng and facing resistance @ 1480
If it breaks 1480 again, this is a buying opportunity.

Interestingly, the MACD did not cross down at all during yesterday selldown. The MACD is still up !
9:47 am - The double top formed last night fails. Broken the resistance @ 1470
The FKLI wants to go higher. Our Tradeguider signals yesterday indicates weakness. Abandon trade to short last min. Else we wud be stop out today.

Waiting for signals to go long. If FKLI break 1488 i.e. weekly pivot, go long. Read my newsletter recommendation.

Monday, January 07, 2008
8:38 pm - Watch out for Jan 30/31 FOMC meeting by the Federal Reserve. They are looking to cut interest rate again !
Wall Street heads to higher open
NEW YORK (AP) - Wall Street headed for a rebound Monday amid speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to ward off a recession. There is little in the way of corporate or economic news expected during the session. Instead, investors are looking toward Thursday's speech from Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke for clues about the central bank's intentions. Further moves by the Fed at its Jan. 29-30 meeting can't come soon enough for some traders. Wall Street dropped sharply on Friday after a government report showed a jump in the unemployment rate and sluggish payroll growth. In just the first three trading days of 2008, the Dow Jones industrial average lost 3.50 percent, the Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 3.86 percent, and the Nasdaq composite index dropped 5.57 percent. On Monday, Dow futures rose 55 points, or 0.48 percent, to 12,942.00. Broader indexes also indicated a higher open, with Standard & Poor's 500 index futures up 7.90, or 0.56 percent, at 1,430.80; and Nasdaq composite futures up 8.00, or 0.40 percent, at 1,993.00. Bond prices were little changed in overnight trading Monday after a rally during the past week. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 3.88 percent from 3.87 percent late Friday. Investors might get some relief Monday from falling crude prices. Oil dropped as energy traders reacted to the potential of a recession in the U.S. after last week's disappointing employment report. A barrel of light, sweet crude dropped 52 cents to $97.39 in pre-opening trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. More clues about the economy are expected from fourth-quarter earnings season. Aluminum producer Alcoa Inc. on Tuesday will be the first of the 30 Dow Jones industrials to report results. In corporate news, Time Warner Inc. could be in focus after the entertainment company announced it plans to release high-definition movies on Blu-ray rather than Toshiba Corp.'s HD DVD formal. Blu-ray is owned by Sony Corp. The announcement comes as the Consumer Electronics Show kicks off in Las Vegas this week. Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average closed down 1.30 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.23 percent, Germany's DAX index added 0.34 percent, and France's CAC-40 was up 0.41 percent. Copyright 2007 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may
NEW YORK (AP) - Wall Street headed for a rebound Monday amid speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to ward off a recession. There is little in the way of corporate or economic news expected during the session. Instead, investors are looking toward Thursday's speech from Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke for clues about the central bank's intentions. Further moves by the Fed at its Jan. 29-30 meeting can't come soon enough for some traders. Wall Street dropped sharply on Friday after a government report showed a jump in the unemployment rate and sluggish payroll growth. In just the first three trading days of 2008, the Dow Jones industrial average lost 3.50 percent, the Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 3.86 percent, and the Nasdaq composite index dropped 5.57 percent. On Monday, Dow futures rose 55 points, or 0.48 percent, to 12,942.00. Broader indexes also indicated a higher open, with Standard & Poor's 500 index futures up 7.90, or 0.56 percent, at 1,430.80; and Nasdaq composite futures up 8.00, or 0.40 percent, at 1,993.00. Bond prices were little changed in overnight trading Monday after a rally during the past week. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 3.88 percent from 3.87 percent late Friday. Investors might get some relief Monday from falling crude prices. Oil dropped as energy traders reacted to the potential of a recession in the U.S. after last week's disappointing employment report. A barrel of light, sweet crude dropped 52 cents to $97.39 in pre-opening trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. More clues about the economy are expected from fourth-quarter earnings season. Aluminum producer Alcoa Inc. on Tuesday will be the first of the 30 Dow Jones industrials to report results. In corporate news, Time Warner Inc. could be in focus after the entertainment company announced it plans to release high-definition movies on Blu-ray rather than Toshiba Corp.'s HD DVD formal. Blu-ray is owned by Sony Corp. The announcement comes as the Consumer Electronics Show kicks off in Las Vegas this week. Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average closed down 1.30 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.23 percent, Germany's DAX index added 0.34 percent, and France's CAC-40 was up 0.41 percent. Copyright 2007 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may
8:34 pm - My newsletter recommends LONG position for FCPO if it break 3170.
Another reasons for LONG FCPO is Japanese candlestick - Bullish Engulfing pattern on EOD.
5:22 pm - FKLI closed lower but KLCI closed high 1470.77
3:32 pm - What happens to KLCI last year during the first week of Jan 07 ?
After the big buying by the big players, the KLCI moves sideways for a while before the big move uptrend.
Will we see this trend this year ?
With the election coming, the probability is high.
The FKLI market will corrects i.e. to move sideways or downtrend to wash the long and short players before it pushes up.
Will we see this trend this year ?
With the election coming, the probability is high.
The FKLI market will corrects i.e. to move sideways or downtrend to wash the long and short players before it pushes up.
2:47 pm - All my MACD indicators has turned downward.
In short term, FKLI is bullish. Resistance at 1458/1460.
1:11 pm - FKLI turn bearish and selldown. KLCI cud not hold and turn negative too.
Friday, January 04, 2008
9:17 pm - Stock futures rise ahead of jobs report
Stock futures rise ahead of jobs report NEW YORK (AP) - U.S. stocks headed toward a modestly higher open Friday ahead of the Labor Department's December employment report, which Wall Street hopes will point to consumer spending continuing at a healthy pace. The department's report on payrolls and unemployment, due at 8:30 a.m. EST, has been a focus of investors for weeks as they try to determine whether the economy will continue to benefit from robust consumer spending even as sectors like home construction, mortgage writing and manufacturing slow. Wall Street is concerned that areas of weakness could puncture growth and even tip the economy into recession if consumers can't depend on a solid job market. Economists predict a smaller gain in payrolls in the final month of the year than in November, and expect the unemployment rate to have risen to 4.8 percent from the previous month's 4.7 percent. Further clarity on the health of the economy could come Friday when the Institute for Supply Management releases its December index of non-manufacturing activity. Economists predict slightly weaker expansion than in November. Ahead of the jobs report, Dow Jones industrial average futures rose 33, or 0.25 percent, to 13,176. Standard & Poor's 500 index futures rose 3.60, or 0.25 percent, to 1,462.30, and the Nasdaq 100 index futures advanced 1.75, or 0.08 percent, to 2,078.00. Bond prices fell. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 3.91 percent from 3.89 percent late Thursday. The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices fell. Light, sweet crude fell 21 cents to $98.97 in premarket electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil touched $100 per barrel this week for the first time, stirring concerns about inflation. Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average closed down 4.03 percent after being closed for a long holiday. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.98 percent, Germany's DAX index fell 0.32 percent, and France's CAC-40 rose 0.11 percent. Copyright 2007 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may
5:11 pm - FKLI closing all time high @ 1469
2:47 pm - A lot of short selling get "creamed" today !
11:04 am - FKLI cross up and moving up and went long at 1440/1442
Thursday, January 03, 2008
5:21 pm - Despite heavy selling in the regional market, KLCI just will not go down.
12:59 noon - FKLI trendline support at 1414/1413
Wednesday, January 02, 2008
5:45 pm - Fund mgr "did not come to work today"
3:25 pm - Instead of fund mgr/big players are buying, they are unloading and selling into the market.
Tuesday, January 01, 2008
10:16 am - DJIA falls on the last day of the year
Stocks fall on last day of 2007 NEW YORK (AP) - Wall Street ended a painful year with another steep loss Monday as investors glumly anticipated that 2008 would bring more of the uncertainty and turbulence of 2007. The Dow Jones industrials fell 101 points, the latest in a string of triple-digit moves that became commonplace in the just-ended year amid a continuum of bad news about housing, faltering mortgages and shrinking credit. Thanks to a big first-half advance, they managed to finish 2007 with a respectable increase of 6.43 percent -- not as large as the 16.29 percent jump in 2006, but a better performance than the modest loss in 2005. The Dow's annual gain came even after it posted its worst fourth-quarter drop in 20 years, amid billion-dollar losses at the world's biggest financial firms and falling spending by consumers whose budgets have been crimped by record-high oil prices and declining home prices. "Considering all that's going on, the market really acted pretty well," said Todd Leone, managing director of equity trading at Cowen & Co. It's tough to say what the primary market driver of 2008 will be, but the stock market faces a slew of threats: more adjustable-rate mortgage resets, a still-tight credit market and the possibility of accelerating inflation. But Leone said the fourth-quarter earnings season in January should shed some light on how U.S. companies are surviving the recent slowdown and credit crunch. There was more downbeat news on housing Monday. The National Association of Realtors said November existing home sales rose 0.4 percent to an annual rate of 5 million -- the first rise in nine months. However, sales are 20 percent below where they were a year ago, and the median existing home price has dropped 3.3 percent over the past 12 months. Falling home prices have made it hard for struggling homeowners to refinance their mortgages, and the slump in construction activity has hurt homebuilders and other housing-related industries. Still, there were some slivers of optimism Monday. The U.K.'s Observer newspaper reported Sunday that Merrill Lynch & Co. was in talks over the weekend to line up capital from investors in China and the Middle East in exchange for portions of the Wall Street firm. Merrill, like many other financial houses, has seen its portfolio lose billions of dollar in value due to misplaced bets on mortgages. And as Citigroup Inc., UBS AG, Morgan Stanley and Bear Stearns Cos. have done, it has turned to investors in Asia for much-needed capital -- Merrill has already gotten $4.4 billion this month from a Singapore fund, which bought a 9.9 percent stake in the U.S. brokerage. The Dow fell 101.05, or 0.76 percent, to 13,264.82. The blue-chip index remains below its Oct. 9 record high of 14,164.53, at which point it was up more than 13 percent year-to-date. The Standard & Poor's 500 index and the technology-dominated Nasdaq composite index also declined Monday, but both posted annual gains for the fifth straight year. The S&P 500 index fell 10.13, or 0.69 percent, to 1,468.36, to end 2007 with a gain of 3.53 percent. It had reached a record close of 1,565.15 on Oct. 9. The Nasdaq fell 22.18, or 0.83 percent, to 2,652.28, to finish the year with a 9.81 percent gain. Despite the market's volatility, this was the best performance for the Nasdaq, still well below its tech boom highs, since 2003. Government bonds rose. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, slid to 4.03 percent from 4.12 percent late Friday, and is down nearly 17 percent for the year. Declining issues narrowly outnumbered advancers on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to a light 1.15 billion shares. 2007 was a remarkable year on Wall Street. The market began the year continuing the rally that propelled the Dow above 12,000 for the first time in October. Then, in late February, came a reminder that stocks were capable of turning tail and plunging -- a skid on China's stock market and an ominous economic outlook from former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan sent the Dow down 416 points in one day. That panic didn't last long. In April, the Dow barreled above 13,000 for the first time and then glided past 14,000 in mid-July. But in late July, however, the market realized that the ongoing slump in housing, and a rise in mortgage foreclosures due to resetting adjustable-rate loans, was taking a toll across the credit markets. Though the housing market started teetering as early as 2005, few people anticipated how much the downturn could affect the global financial system. Mortgages given to borrowers deemed "subprime" comprised only about an eighth of the $10 trillion U.S. mortgage market -- why would that rattle the world markets? The problem was, these pieces of debt were chopped up, repackaged and woven into larger fixed-income instruments, on which banks and other investors made billion-dollar bets -- bets that were extremely profitable during the housing boom, but calamitous when borrowers couldn't keep up with their mortgage payments. When one slice of the instrument defaulted, it pulled the whole thing down with it. Investors bailed out of anything tied to mortgages, and soon Wall Street discovered that financial institutions in the United States and overseas were holding billions of dollars in assets that were losing value by the day. The biggest names on the Street -- Merrill Lynch, Citigroup Inc., Bear Stearns Cos. -- announced billions of dollars in writedowns. Merrill and Citi lost their CEOs, and several financial firms sought out billion-dollar investments to clean up their balance sheets. In the midst of this turmoil, the credit markets all but seized up, and all these interconnected events pummeled stocks. The Dow suffered triple-digit drops, recoveries and then drops again as Wall Street stumbled through months of volatility reminiscent of the terrible days after the 2001 terror attacks. In August and September the Federal Reserve began to act, with interest rate cuts and injections of liquidity. It helped for a while, and in October, stocks were rallying again taking the Dow to another set of record highs -- only to succumb again to fears about the unknown extent of the credit mess. Wall Street enters 2008 with that same concern, not to mention oil's surge this year of about 60 percent to nearly $100 a barrel, and the U.S. dollar's tumble to record lows against the euro. On Monday, the dollar rose against most other major currencies, gold prices fell, and crude oil prices slipped 2 cents to settle at $95.98 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. "We've seen the return of volatility. I think that will be around for a while, and will govern trading for the new year," said Scott Fullman, director of investment strategy for I. A. Englander & Co. "Stock selection and strategy will play a very important part in the success of anybody who is trading going into the new year. This is not a time where you throw a dart at the board." In 2007, the technology, energy, industrials and healthcare sectors did well, while the financial industry and small-caps -- usually fledgling companies that rely heavily on loans to grow their business -- lagged. The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 5.73, or 0.74 percent, to 766.03 Monday. The small-cap index finished the year down 2.75 percent.
Monday, December 31, 2007
5:12 pm - FKLI Jan doing a year end wash back to 1414.0
Saturday, December 29, 2007
9:59 am - FCPO will trend higher next week as it track against soybean.
Soybeans prices reach 34-year high NEW YORK (AP) - Soybean futures fell Friday, pulling back after touching a 34-year high on expectations for robust exports next year and continued strong demand from China. Gold prices climbed almost $11 an ounce, boosted by strong oil prices, weak economic data in the U.S., and world political concerns following Thursday's assassination of Pakistani opposition leader Benazir Bhutto. Wheat futures dropped sharply and oil prices fell. Trading was light in most financial markets due to the holiday season, and that tended to exaggerate many price movements including the turnaround in soybeans. U.S. exporters have already sold roughly three-quarters of the soybeans the Agriculture Department predicts for the whole marketing year, which ends in June 2008. To make up for dwindling inventories, analysts say farmers need to plant more soybeans than they did last year -- when an ethanol boom led farmers to favor planting corn acres over soybeans. So far this year, soybean exports are running at 735 million bushels, or about 74 percent of the USDA's total estimate of 995 million bushels. Last year, the farmland dedicated to soybean plantings was reduced by 15 percent. Feeding Friday's record was continued strong demand from China, the world's largest consumer of soybean oil, said DTN commodities analyst Elaine Kob. "It's really been an impressive week for soybeans," she said. A bushel of soybeans for March delivery settled down 8.5 cents at $12.23 a bushel. The price had jumped to $12.48 overnight, beating June 1973's closing high of $12.10 but still shy of that day's trading record of $12.90 a bushel. Wheat for March delivery fell 26.25 cents to $9.15 a bushel. March corn rose 2.5 cents to $4.5475 a bushel, while March oats traded flat, settling at $$3.09 a bushel. Gold prices advanced on the precious metal's appeal as a safe haven investment during political uncertainty. Bhutto's assassination in a suicide bombing has stirred investor worries about further instability in the region. "The geopolitical background continues to unnerve a lot of people," said Jon Nadler, senior analyst at Kitco Bullion Dealers, adding that gold has "the potential to close out the year at its very peak." The dollar's steep drop against the 13-nation euro this year has been a major driver behind gold's advance from less than $650 an ounce in January to a 28-year high near $850 an ounce in November. Gold futures are up nearly 32 percent this year, Nadler said. An ounce of gold for February delivery added $10.90 to settle at $842.70 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. March silver climbed 0.077 cent to $14.895 an ounce, and Nymex copper for March delivery fell 6 cents to close at $3.0720 a pound. The dollar fell against the euro and yen in late New York trading, but strengthened versus the pound. Hampering the rise of gold and other commodities was a government report showing sales of new homes fell in November to their lowest level in more than 12 years. The Commerce Department said new home sales fell 9 percent from October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 647,000. Copyright 2007 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may
Friday, December 28, 2007
5:09 am - KLCI boleh ! Last minutes pushed up by the big institution !
4:10 pm - After Hong Kong Hang Seng market closes at 4 pm, FKLI will set its goal for higher.
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