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Wednesday, June 04, 2008

2:27 pm - DJIA looks to fall further tonite !


Support @ 12310.


9:54 am - I believe our FKLI will go into huge discount very soon !

It is trading at 11 pts discount.

On the separate news, PM Badawi had announced they are considering banning the public from trading palm oil futures in M'sia. This may mean closing the palm oil futures exchange.

9:50 am - FKLI is testing 1245 again for the third time.

Let's see if it can break 1245.0 and go lower. Call us to short ! There is no sign generated.

9:10 am - FKLI gap down due to DJIA -100 pts drop


If FKLI break low @ 1245, FKLI is heading lower.


Tuesday, June 03, 2008

5:59 pm - FKLI is testing monthly support @ 1248.5

Having broke 1256.0 and FKLI is turning toward lower high. With weekly support s2 @ 1244.0.

FKLI wud test 1244/1248.5 tomorrow.

5:31 pm - FKLI certainly closed below 1256.0


The call for short is on !

4:45 pm - FKLI broke down 1256.0 for the second time.



Short trade is initiated. My newsletter recommendation also recommend Short @ 1256.0.

Going SHORT !

9:30 am - Doji followed by a wide range down bar

DJIA has a bearish pattern. You can keep FKLI overnite on short trade.

9:06 am - FKLI gap down due to DJIA -1.0 pct dropped.


Can FKLI drop further than 1260.0 ? It has a strong support at 1260.0

Monday, June 02, 2008

5:07 pm - FKLI is rangebound between 1266/1272


It is so difficult to trade FKLI with few points range between them.

2:39 pm - This will impact our FCPO market indirectly - Hedge Funds Cut Bets on Oil as Prices Rose, CFTC Started Probe

Hedge Funds Cut Bets on Oil as Prices Rose, CFTC Started Probe
By Robert Tuttle and Grant Smith
June 2 (Bloomberg) -- Hedge-fund managers and speculators reduced bets on higher oil prices by 80 percent since July as crude futures rose to records and U.S. regulators started investigating trading, government data show.
So-called speculative net long positions fell to 25,867 contracts on the New York Mercantile Exchange in the week ended May 27 from a record 127,491 on July 31, according to a U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission report on May 30.
The decline may complicate the CFTC's probe as regulators try to determine how much of the rise in oil to more than $135 a barrel last month was caused by speculators who may have manipulated the market instead of consumer demand. The CFTC, under pressure from Congress, said May 29 it was investigating the doubling of oil prices the past year and said it will consider giving more detail on the types of oil investors and their holdings.
``The real problem is with passive investors like pension funds and index traders, who do not really qualify as speculators because they're long term'' holders of oil contracts, said Olivier Jakob, managing director of Petromatrix Gmbh, a consulting company in Zug, Switzerland. ``There are no numbers on index traders, that's why the CFTC is going to ask for them and publish them.''
Unusual fluctuations in cotton prices that disrupted sales by farmers in March are also the target of an investigation by the CFTC, two people familiar with the probe said May 31. Cotton traded on IntercontinentalExchange Inc.'s ICE Futures U.S. unit rose to a 12-year high of 92.86 cents a pound on March 5, then fell 26 percent by March 20.
Speculative Positions
Results of the probe may be released as soon as June 3, said the people, who asked not to be identified because it hasn't been made public.
Scrutiny of the oil market increased as Congress held hearings May 22 and oil soared to a record $135.09 a barrel the same day, threatening the U.S. economy and spurring inflation. OPEC President Chakib Khelil on May 31 blamed record prices on speculation and the declining U.S. dollar, saying there's no shortage of crude.
Prices fell the most since March last week. Crude oil for July delivery declined 3.7 percent to $127.35 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Some investors said the decline shows the market isn't being manipulated. Total speculative long positions in New York futures fell to 215,999 contracts in the week ended May 27, down 18 percent from a record 264,395 on July 31, according to CFTC data.
`Driven by Fundamentals'
``There is good reason why prices are high, and it's driven by fundamentals,'' said Paul Tossetti, director of oil market analysis at consultants PFC Energy in Dallas. ``When you look at the number of players, the number of open positions, I don't know how anybody can manipulate anything.''
Global oil demand, forecast to increase 1.2 percent this year, may outpace supply growth as energy consumption increases, especially in China and India, the Paris-based International Energy Agency said in a May 13 report.
The CFTC has been investigating the transportation, storage and trading of crude oil in the U.S. since December. The probe includes oil futures contracts.
Acting Chairman Walter Lukken said in an interview May 30 the CFTC will leave ``no stone unturned'' to make sure the oil market isn't being manipulated.
Speculators Playing
Speculators ``are playing the commodities without question, and they are taking bets on where it's going to go, but they are betting on the fundamentals,'' said Joseph Stanislaw, chief executive officer at JAStanislaw Group LLC, a consulting company. ``Demand is growing at a faster rate than production capacity.''
The CFTC's Commitment of Traders report, issued each Friday, shows how many futures contracts have been bought, referred to as ``long'' positions, or sold, known as ``short'' positions, by three types of market users.
Commercial traders, including oil producers and refiners, use the market to hedge their business, while non-commercial traders include financial speculators and hedge funds. The third category is for non-reportable traders, whose positions are too small to consider.
Futures are increasingly being bought and sold by investors that track commodity index futures such as the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index. The CFTC provides some weekly information on index trader positions for 12 agricultural commodities, including corn, cotton and soybeans. It doesn't provide the data on oil.
The commission decided to start publishing figures for index traders in agricultural futures in December 2006, and is now considering broadening that scope to oil markets.
To contact the reporter on this story: Grant Smith in London at Robert Tuttle in New York at rtuttle@bloomberg.net

2:32 pm - FCPO had closed the gap


FCPO has closed the gap left on Friday ! FCPO market is bullish !

9:41 am - DJIA looks like ranging at this point.


DJIA is directionless and professionals are not participating in the market denoted by the volume.

Friday, May 30, 2008

12:15 pm - KLCI hits quadraple top at 1276.0


Now, it is starting to mushroom down.

11:23 am - FKLI June 08 has formed double top


If FKLI can break 1268 and closed higher, FKLI is bound higher. Else we see lower 1260 and lower today.

9:29 am - DJIA is heading higher as US revised their GDP higher !


DJIA is moving sideway until they sell down it again.

9:13 am - FKLI is holding up nicely !


FKLI has not progress downward since it has retraced to 50% retracement @ 1253.0.
Here is the deal, if crude oil is falling lower, our plantation counters wud too, so how can FKLI goes higher.

Thursday, May 29, 2008

5:08 pm - FKLI need to close 1253 tomorrow to continue downtrend !


FKLI probable closed around 1259 for June contract tonite.

2:30 pm - FKLI, KLCI & DJIA are at 50% retracement.

FKLI is at 50% retracement at 1253 and well supported at this level.




DJIA is at 50% retracement at 12,429 and too well supported at this level.


KLCI is also exhibit the same 50% retracement.

If DJIA were to break below 50% i.e. goes lower at 12430, KLCI will soon to follow.

10:25 am - FCPO has reached its peak @ 3,737

At this point, FCPO look to move downward or sideway !

9:44 am - KLCI looks like a reversal but it is not yet unless we see volume !



KLCI is at 50% retracement @ 1260.0. There have been many occasions KLCI goes down to 61.8% at 1250. I believe our KLCI is heading for 61.8% and beyond.

9:08 am - FKLI June 08 contract rebound

We are looking at the June 08 contract now. There is no follow thru on the Short side ! Cash Market is raising on low volume. Think to short higher.

Wednesday, May 28, 2008

12:14 pm - If FKLI closed below 1262, FKLI has a bearish engulfing pattern.


In last Saturday Traders Club held in PCM, I spoke of Bearish Engulfing Pattern which is a bearish pattern for FKLI. If FKLI closed 1260, you can go short and need to carry your position overnite.

11:17 am - The usual with FKLI - Gap up and then sell down !


The range is very tight too due to the institutional rolling over their contracts. With KLCI breaking lower than 1271.0, FKLI is deemed to close lower.

10:10 am - DJIA has some room to fall further !


DJIA tonite might move sideway or down with the next support at 12,300.0

8:52 am - FKLI gap up to open 1270.5


FKLI has formed a doji yesterday and there were no follow thru. If FKLI can close above 1270, FKLI may go sideway or upward. The downtrend has temporarily stopped.

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

8:56 am - FKLI looks like there is no selling thru beyond 1260.0


FKLI wud move directionless as there is no indicators except from Hang Seng.

Monday, May 26, 2008

5:19 pm - FKLI daily chart does not look good !


While KLCI is holding above support @ 1271, but FKLI is selling down, making it difficult to read FKLI due to institiutional rollover.

2:33 pm - FKLI is holding up nicely. If FKLI closed above 1265.0, this is good !


12:06 am - FCPO finally broke 3700 for the 3rd time.


It is important for FCPO to hold and close above 3,703 today !

9:45 am - KLCI is likely to form a double bottom at the major support 1271


If this hold, KLCI i.e. FKLI wud rally the next few days.

9:31 am - FKLI gap down due to DJIA lower closing last Friday !


We have reduce our SHORT position. There is still weakness in our FKLI. Stay aside as this week is also ROLLOVER week for the institiutional.

Saturday, May 24, 2008

8:02 am - Stocks fall as oil prices stir economic worries

NEW YORK (AP) - Wall Street ended a week of big losses with more sellingFriday as rising oil prices again raised worries that strained consumers willcut back spending and hurt the overall economy. The Dow Jones industrials fellnearly 150 points in the final session before the three-day holiday weekend. Investors are uneasy about consumers, who at the start of Memorial Dayweekend are paying gasoline prices that have gone up nearly 20 percent, or 65cents a gallon, in the past year. Wall Street's fear is that consumers, who account for more than two-thirdsof U.S. economic activity, will pare spending to make room in their budgets forgas that has topped $4 a gallon in some parts of the country. Light, sweet crude rose $1.38 to settle at $132.19 per barrel on the NewYork Mercantile Exchange. Oil saw its third weekly gain after surging to arecord $135.09 a barrel on Thursday. Some investors are buying on the beliefthat global demand from countries like China and India will outstrip supply. Aweak dollar also makes each barrel more expensive. "Crude oil is still weighing on the market and particularly because this isa traditional driving holiday," said Chris Orndorff, director of equity strategyat Payden & Rygel in Los Angeles. The concerns sent Dow down 145.99, or 1.16 percent, to 12,479.63. Broader stock indicators also declined. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell18.42, or 1.32 percent, to 1,375.93, and the Nasdaq composite index slid 19.91,or 0.81 percent, to 2,444.67. For the week, the Dow lost 3.91 percent, suffering its worst week sinceFebruary, while the S&P 500 gave up 3.47 percent and the Nasdaq fell 3.33percent. The economic fallout from higher energy prices commanded Wall Street's focusduring the week. Stocks managed to post gains Thursday following the Dow'sbiggest two-day loss since late February. Despite the declines in the majorindexes for the week, stocks are off their mid-March lows. The Dow is still up6.3 percent from its close of 11,740.15 on March 10, when credit concernsweighed on the market. "I think while the eye of the credit storm may have passed, the tidewater isstill rising on the consumer and investors can't lose sight of that," said JackAblin, chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank in Chicago. He noted thathigher gas prices had led some vacationers to reduce how far they plan to travelfor the holiday. "It is taking a toll on the consumer and it remains to be seen how that willimpact corporate earnings." Beyond consumers, investors worried about the harm higher energy prices arehaving on businesses. The rise in oil hammered sectors such as airlines.Continental Airlines Inc. fell nearly 27 percent for the week, while UnitedAirlines parent UAL Corp. dropped nearly 46 percent. Bond prices rose Friday as investors sought the safety of government debt.The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite itsprice, fell to 3.85 percent from 3.92 percent late Thursday. The dollar fell, while gold prices rose. Orndorff said the spike in oil has rekindled concerns about stagflation --when stalling growth accompanies rising prices. "Given that inflation remains stubbornly high, then the Fed is going to beless accommodative going forward so we may end up a period of sluggish growth instubbornly higher inflation," he said, referring to possible interest rate cutsfrom the Federal Reserve. Minutes released this week from the last meeting ofthe central bank's rate-setting arm doused some investors' hopes thatpolicymakers will again cut rates to aid the economy when they meet at the endof June. Orndorff predicts investors will need further evidence on how the economy isfaring before they resume taking stocks back toward the highs seen last fall. "I think the market for the most part is going to be in a somewhat narrowtrading range until you get the earnings that come out in July. I think that'sgoing to be an important quarter as people see how the effects of the globaleconomy slowing are affecting the companies." A Financial Times report that brewing company InBev is readying a $46billion takeover bid for Budweiser maker Anheuser-Busch Cos. failed to shakeWall Street from its downcast mood. Often, buyout activity is fodder for a rallyin stocks as it as seen as a bullish sign for the economy. But the buyingappeared limited to the St. Louis brewer, whose shares hit an all-time high.Anheuser-Busch rose finished up $4.03, or 7.7 percent, to $56.61 after tradingas high as $58. American Axle and Manufacturing Holdings Inc. fell 81 cents, or 4.2 percent,to $18.44 after the company said that workers approved a contract including paycuts and other concessions. The vote ends a strike that lasted nearly threemonths, hurting General Motors Corp.'s production of large sport utilityvehicles and pickups. Although the contract's ratification will benefit GM, autostocks saw pressure during the week because of soaring fuel prices. GM was thesteepest decliner among the 30 stocks that comprise the Dow industrials, falling83 cents, or 4.5 percent, to $17.60. Declining issues outnumbered advancers by about 7 to 3 on the New York StockExchange, where consolidated volume came to 3.43 billion shares compared with3.85 billion shares traded Thursday. The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 8.91, or 1.22 percent, to724.10. In overseas trade, Tokyo's Nikkei closed rose 0.24 percent. In Europe,London's FTSE ended down 1.53 percent, Frankfurt's DAX fell 1.79 percent andParis' CAC 40 shed 1.89 percent. The Dow Jones industrial average ended the week down 507.17, or 3.91percent, at 12,479.63. The Standard & Poor's 500 index finished down 49.42, or3.47 percent, at 1,375.93. The Nasdaq composite index ended the week down 84.18,or 3.33 percent, at 2,444.67. The Russell 2000 index finished the week down 17.07, or 2.3 percent, at724.10. The Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 Composite Index -- a free-float weighted indexthat measures 5,000 U.S. based companies -- ended Friday at 13,954.47, down469.28 points, or 3.25 percent, for the week. A year ago, the index was at15,348.10. Copyright 2008 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be

Friday, May 23, 2008

9:27 pm - Wall Street tilts to lower open ahead of data

NEW YORK (AP) - Wall Street tilted toward a lower open Friday as investorsawaited a report on existing home sales and adjusted their portfolios before thethree-day holiday weekend. The National Association of Realtors is expected to report that existinghome sales dipped in April to a record low, an indication that the housingmarket showed no signs of recovery during the spring sales season. The report isscheduled for release at 10 a.m. EDT; sales are forecast to have fallen 1.6percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.85 million units, down from4.93 million in March, according to Thomson/IFR. Oil prices are set for a third weekly gain after surging to a record $135.09a barrel on Thursday. Investors are buying on the belief that supply can't keepup with growing global demand from countries like China and India. Crude fellback in overnight trading, but was recently up $1.76 at $132.56 a barrel inpremarket trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The economic fallout from higher energy prices remained Wall Street's focusthis week. Stocks rose moderately Thursday after two sessions of steep declines,with the Dow Jones industrial average recording its biggest two-day loss sincelate February. Dow futures fell 51, or 0.34 percent, to 12,565. Standard & Poor's 500 indexfutures shed 6.00, or 0.43 percent, to 1,387.20, and the Nasdaq 100 futuresdropped 6.00, or 0.31 percent, to 1,960.50. Despite the declines of more than 2 percent in the major indexes this week,stocks are off their mid-March lows. The Dow is still up 7.5 percent from itsclose of 11,740.15 on March 10. Bond prices edged higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note,which moves opposite its yield, fell to 3.87 percent from 3.92 percent lateThursday. The dollar was mostly higher against other major currencies, and gold wasalso higher. In corporate news, Gap Inc. reported late Thursday that first-quarter profitsurpassed Wall Street projections. The retailer said it boosted profit by 40percent by better managing inventory and cutting costs. There was also deal talk going into the holiday weekend. Halliburton Co.,the world's second-largest oilfield services company, made a $3.4 billion bid toacquire British rival Expro International Group. Yahoo Inc. late Thursday said in regulatory filing that it pushed its annualshareholders meeting to an undetermined date in late July. The move was seengiving the Internet portal more time to prepare a defense -- or negotiate a saleto Microsoft Corp. American Axle and Manufacturing Holdings Inc. might rise after the companysaid late Thursday that workers approved a new contract including pay cuts andother concessions. The vote ends a strike that lasted nearly three months,hurting General Motors Corp.'s production of large sport utility vehicles andpickup trucks. Although the contract's ratification will benefit GM, auto stockshave been under pressure this week because of soaring fuel prices. In overseas trade, Tokyo's Nikkei closed rose 0.24 percent. In Europe,London's FTSE dropped 0.90 percent, Frankfurt's DAX fell 0.57 percent and Paris'CAC 40 shed 1.10 percent. Copyright 2008 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be

5:25 pm - FKLI closed below 1280 and at 1270.0


The chart does not look good ! Exit some LONG position at 1272 for those with multiple lots.

10:48 am - FKLI has to close above 1280 today to have a convincing reversal !


If it cannot close above 1280, FKLI might move sideway or downtrend.

10:11 am - FKLI hits all short seller stop - Short seller is out of the market !


Time to go long ! Long at 1281.5/1282

9:34 am - DJIA has a small doji with low volume.


DJIA still has room to move down based on the volume. DJIA wud most probability tonite move sideway or down !

9:29 am - FKLI is ready to move up ?


Looking at today, FKLI has to break and close above 1279.5/1280 before going long.

Thursday, May 22, 2008

5:40 pm - FKLI is trotting along in par with DJIA


If DJIA were to recover, our FKLI shud be turning up ! Let's see how DJIA wud fare tonite. DJIA has been down 2 days almost 380 pts down. It shud pop up tonite !

11:09 am - Dollar Falls for Third Day Against Yen as Oil Prices Surge

Dollar Falls for Third Day Against Yen as Oil Prices Surge
By Kosuke Goto and Yumi Teso
May 22 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar fell for a third day against the yen on speculation a surge in oil prices to a record will accelerate inflation while slowing economic growth in the U.S., the world's biggest oil importer.
The currency weakened to the lowest level in almost two weeks versus the yen and to a one-month low against the euro before a government report that will probably show falling U.S. house prices. The Australian dollar traded near its highest since being allowed to trade freely in 1983 as investors sought the nation's higher-yielding debt.
``The U.S. economy is vulnerable to surging oil prices,'' said Toru Umemoto, chief currency strategist in Tokyo at Barclays Capital, Britain's third-biggest lender. ``Stagflation risks in the U.S. are rising, buffeting the dollar.''
The dollar slid to 102.74 yen, the lowest level since May 12, before trading at 11:12 a.m. in Tokyo from 103.05 in New York yesterday. It also fell to $1.5801 per euro, the lowest level since April 24, before trading at $1.5791 from $1.5795. The euro fell to 162.35 yen from 162.76 yen.
The U.S. currency may weaken to $1.59 per euro and 101 yen in one month, Umemoto said.
The yen remained higher against the dollar after a Japanese government report showed export growth quickened in April. Overseas shipments, the driver of more than half of last quarter's expansion, rose 4 percent from a year earlier.
Pound, Franc
The dollar traded at $1.9733 against the British pound from $1.9732, and was at 1.0238 versus the Swiss franc from 1.0250. The Federal Reserve cut its 2008 economic growth projections to a range of 0.3 percent to 1.2 percent from its January forecast of 1.3 percent to 2 percent, according to minutes of its April meeting.
The Dollar Index traded on ICE futures in New York, which tracks the dollar against currencies of six trading partners, fell to 71.879, from 71.938 yesterday.
The Australian dollar climbed to as high as 96.54 U.S. yesterday, before trading at 96.39 cents, compared with 96.25 in New York yesterday. The Aussie has risen 9.6 percent this year, the second-biggest gainer among the 16 most-traded currencies.
A report from the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight today will show U.S. house prices fell 1.3 percent in the first quarter, according to the median forecast of 13 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.
The euro held gains after the price of crude oil increased to more than $135 a barrel and German business confidence unexpectedly rose, bolstering speculation the European Central Bank won't lower interest rates.
``As long as oil continues to go up, the ECB is going to preserve its hawkishness and is going to reduce any chance of them cutting rates,'' said Ashraf Laidi, chief currency analyst in New York at CMC Markets in a Bloomberg Television interview. ``That's why it's a direct positive for the euro.''
Fed Minutes
The dollar fell yesterday after minutes of the Fed's April meeting showed most policy makers viewed the decision to cut the benchmark interest rate to 2 percent as ``a close call,'' judging risks between weaker growth and faster inflation had become more balanced.
``Although the economy could do with some monetary help, the Fed is in a very tight bind as inflation picks up,'' said Shaun Osborne, chief currency strategist at TD Securities Inc. in Toronto.
The yield advantage of a two-year German bund over a comparable Treasury note rose to 1.72 percent, the most since April 9.
`Still Weakening'
``We'll see another leg of dollar weakness and will head toward $1.60,'' near the record low of $1.6019 per euro set on April 22, said Dustin Reid, a senior currency strategist at ABN Amro Bank NV in Chicago. ``The U.S. economy is still weakening.''
The correlation coefficient between oil prices and the euro-dollar exchange rate has been 0.95 for the past year, indicating they have moved in the same direction 95 percent of the time. The ECB has left its benchmark rate at a 6 1/2-year high of 4 percent since June and ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said last month there is ``strong short-term upward pressure on inflation.''
Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade show traders see an 88 percent chance the Fed will keep its target rate for overnight lending between banks at 2 percent on June 25, down from a 94 percent chance one week ago. Traders also see a 21 percent chance the Fed will lift the target in September to 2.25 percent, down from a 29 percent chance a week earlier.
The euro may rise to $1.5850 against the dollar in one week, based on charts used to predict price movements, said Masashi Hashimoto, a senior currency analyst at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd.
Technical Charts
The currency has held above so-called support at the 5-day and 21-day moving averages of $1.5663 and $1.5553, respectively, signaling further gains, Hashimoto said in Tokyo. Support is where buyers are expected to outweigh sellers.
The so-called resistance level of $1.5850 represents a 76.4 percent reversal of the euro's slide to a low of $1.5285 on May 8, from a record high of $1.6019 on April 22, based on a series of numbers known as the Fibonacci sequence. Resistance is a level where selling is expected to outweigh buying.
The yen gained against the Brazilian real and the South African rand, favorites of so-called carry trades, as a decline in stocks prompted investors to pare holdings of higher-yielding assets funded in the Japanese currency.
``Stocks may extend declines which translates into a stronger yen,'' said Hideki Hayashi, chief economist at Shinko Securities Co. in Tokyo. ``People are unwinding higher-yielding assets and their carry trades.''
The yen may strengthen to 102 per dollar this month, Hayashi said.
Carry Trades
The yen strengthened to 62.0165 against the Brazilian real, compared with 62.1795 yesterday in New York. It rose to 13.29973 per rand from 13.3239, as investors trimmed carry trades, in which they get funds in a nation with low rates and invest where returns are higher. The risk is currency swings erase profits.
One-month implied volatility for dollar-yen options rose to 12.7 percent today from 12.45 percent. Japan's 0.5 percent target lending rate compares with 11.75 percent in Brazil and 11.5 percent in South Africa. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.8 percent today.

10:17 am - FKLI is just moving sideway as cash market has recovered back !


9:10 am - FKLI next level of support at 1260-1266


FKLI were to go down, look to buy at 1260-1266.0. Crude oil is up almost USD4 at all time high USD134, our plantation stocks wud hold up nicely.

9:05 am - FKLI finally gap down after DJIA -1.77% drop


FKLI put a strong fight yesterday and the rest of the regional market too. FKLI finally has to follow the DJIA. It is difficult to trade FKLI now.

Wednesday, May 21, 2008

4:59 pm - FKLI is well support at 1282/1284.0


If DJIA closed with a Doji tonite, we wud see support for FKLI at 1284.0. At this point, the FKLI market is uncertain.

10:33 am - FKLI is strong to reverse from 1284.0 support



Look like our FKLI is very choppy today ! Support at 1284/1282 cannot be broken. FKLI market will hover around 1282-1288 and move sideway.

9:50 am - FKLI has tested low of yesterday and resistance of 1284.0


As FKLI is heading lower low. Think of short ! For intraday, go SHORT at 1284.0 and put your stop at today high 1289.5.0

9:21 am - Like I said yesterday ! DJIA tend to fall when formed double top !


We saw heavy volume coming last nite. DJIA may fall for one more day. Let's see how DJIA fare tonite.

9:10 am - FKLI is strong in the face of DJIA -2.0% loss



Our FKLI gap down less than 7 pts. This means the FKLI market wud need convincing volume to break 1284 support today else FKLI wud test 1295 resistance level.
FKLI is trading at 6 pts premium.



Tuesday, May 20, 2008

5:31 pm - Short covering at 4 pm push FKLI higher !


DJIA futures is down -49%. DJIA has a double top. If FKLI gap up, think to short !

2:35 pm - FKLI selldown to 1286.0


Think of going short ! But higher too.

12:39 noon _ FKLI is selling down now !


ALl of our LONG position is out ! The Mahathir Factor has been priced into the futures and ppl are hedging the market.

10:10 am - DJIA is forming a double top with doji.


I believe DJIA will close lower tonite after moving uptrend for 4-5 bars.

10:02 am - FKLI selldown this morning to washout the LONG position


We got some of our position out but most of them are still in. Stop at 1284.0